When your investments fall, do you feel your stomach drop? Or that rush of excitement when they soar? You're certainly not the only one. Those powerful emotions can hijack even the best investment plans.
Let's explore why your brain is reacting this way. And, most importantly, let's look at how you can stay calm and collected when markets are raging. - Learn more about Affirm Wealth Advisors
Your Brain can undermine your investment
Your relationship with money goes beyond numbers. You're shaped by the whole of your life.
Hidden forces driving your financial decisions
Do you think that your financial decisions are rational? Think again. The majority of financial decisions are subconscious.
-
The brain feels losses more intensely (losing $1000 feels worse than winning $1000 feels good).
-
Market crashes become real threats with the help of evolutionary wiring
-
Fear and greed are more influential in investment decisions than logic.
How your financial past shapes your present
Remember how you and your family discussed money in childhood? These early experiences left financial imprints on you that continue to influence your reactions to market fluctuations today.
-
Early money experiences can create neural pathways for many decades.
-
Living through market crashes creates persistent biases
-
Risk tolerance is influenced more by your personal financial history than any other finance class
Why Knowing Better Doesn’t Mean Doing better
Even though you may know exactly what to invest in, it doesn't mean you'll follow through. It's easy to see why even experts in finance make poor decisions when their emotions are high.
-
In seconds, the market can be dominated by panic.
-
Implementation gaps cost more than knowledge gaps to investors
-
It is rare that information alone will change deep-seated behaviors.
Behavioral finance: The science behind market madness
Traditional economics assumed we were all rational investors. The behavioral finance approach reveals the emotional factors that drive market fluctuations.
From Rational Theory into Emotional Realism
The field was born when researchers began noticing patterns of irrational and unsustainable financial behavior.
-
Classical economists cannot explain why markets always overreact
-
Psychologists Kahneman and Tversky revolutionized our understanding in the 1970s
-
The 2008 financial crises pushed behavioral Finance into the mainstream
Why Markets Aren’t Always Rational
Despite what the textbooks say, markets aren't perfectly efficient. Human psychology creates persistent inefficiencies:
-
Assets are often mispriced due to emotional reactions
-
Investor herding generates boom-bust cycles that transcend fundamental values
-
Why bubbles and crashes occur due to psychological factors
Investment Principles that Every Investor Must Know
When emotions cloud your judgement, you can recognize them by understanding these concepts.
-
Loss aversion is a phenomenon where losses hurt about twice as bad as similar gains.
-
Recency bias is the tendency to give too much weighting to what happened most recently.
-
The anchoring effect is when decisions are tied to arbitrarily chosen reference points, rather than fundamentals.
The Emotional Investing Traps We All Fall Into
The brain is full of shortcuts. These helped our ancestors to survive, but they can ruin your investment returns. We'll identify these biases to help you overcome them.
The Fear of Losing Money: How to Avoid Making Mistakes Based on Fear
Fear drives more costly investing errors than any other emotion:
-
Loss aversion leads you to sell winners early and hold on to losers for too much time.
-
Risk aversion increases precisely when opportunities are greatest
-
Inflation slowly erodes cash positions when you catastrophize.
When Greed Drives the Wheel
The optimism bias can lead you to take excessive risks in bull markets.
-
Overconfidence is a sign that you are overconfident and underestimating your capabilities.
-
You chase hot sectors because of FOMO (fear you will miss out).
-
Selective memory helps you forget past mistakes during market euphoria
The Cognitive Blind Spots of Every Investor
You will naturally look for confirmation of what you already believe.
-
Confirmation bias causes you to ignore warning signals in investments you like
-
Mental accounting can lead to inconsistencies between accounts when it comes to risk assessment
-
Because "you've invested a lot already", you are bound to loser strategies.
The Four Market Cycles, and Their Emotional Rolling Coaster
The emotional cycles of the markets are as predictable as their patterns of price. Recognizing which emotional stage the market is in gives you tremendous advantage.
Bull Market Psychology and the Dangerous Path to Euphoria
Bull markets follow a predictable emotional progression:
-
Early optimism can offer solid opportunities and reasonable valuations
-
Middle appreciation builds confidence but increases complacency
-
Analysing the situation rationally is not enough to avoid danger.
Bear Market Psychology from Denial to Opportunity
Bear markets create predictable emotional reactions:
-
When markets start to decline, investors are still unable to sell their investments.
-
Fear prompts widespread sale as losses accelerate
-
In the midst of maximum pessimism, surrendering creates the best opportunities
Psychological indicators can be used to identify market turning points
Markets transitions begin with investor psychology before prices.
-
Excessive optimism often signals market tops before prices actually peak
-
Widespread capitulation typically precedes market bottoms
-
Sentiment is often a leading indicator of price movement by several weeks or months
Practical Ways to Manage your Emotions during Market Chaos
Managing your emotional response to market swings is a skill you can learn. These techniques will help you stay rational in turbulent markets.
Mindfulness is a powerful tool to improve investment decision-making
Developing awareness of your emotional reactions creates space for more rational decisions:
-
Regular meditation improves emotional regulation during market stress
-
Body scanning helps identify when anxiety is affecting your decisions
-
The use of emotional labels ("I feel fear right now") can reduce the intensity of a reaction
Why Investment Journaling Can Transform Your Results
This simple action improves the decision quality dramatically.
-
Your thoughts will be recorded objectively in your investment journals
-
The relationship between emotions and decisions can reveal harmful patterns
-
Reflecting on your own financial triggers regularly will help you to become more aware of them.
Psychological Distance: The Power of Distance
By viewing the market volatility with a detached view, emotional reactivity is reduced:
-
Imagine you're giving advice to another person instead of your own self
-
When making decisions, use third-person language ("What should Jane be doing?").
-
Visualize yourself in the future to focus on long-term goals over short-term emotions
Build an investment strategy that works with your psychology
Your psychological tendencies are important to your investment strategy. Aligning your investment strategy with your psychological tendencies improves your long-term outcomes.
Rules-Based Investing : Your Emotional Circuit Breaker
Clear investment rules established in advance prevent emotional override:
-
Pre-commitment strategies prevent impulsive decisions during volatility
-
When emotions resist, rebalancing rules force a contrarian response.
-
Systematic investment plans eliminate timing decisions entirely
Finding Your Sleep at night Factor
You can stay invested in the market even when it is turbulent with the right position size.
-
Positions that are small enough to avoid panic sales during downturns
-
Diversification reduces emotional attachment to individual investments
-
Risk management rules prevent catastrophic losses that trigger abandonment
Matching the emotional capacity of a person to their timeframe
Different time horizons require different psychological approaches:
-
The emotional reaction to volatility in the short term is reduced by a longer time horizon
-
Distinct strategies for different goals improve overall stability
-
Preparing for the volatility of the future reduces unexpected reactions
Social Psychology of Market Psychology
Markets are social institutions where collective psychology drives price movements. Understanding these dynamics can help you resist unhealthy social influences.
Why we cannot help but follow the herd
Humans evolved to follow the crowd for safety:
-
Investors attracted by social proof are more likely to invest in popular stocks near the market's top.
-
Markets overshoot on both sides because of herding
-
If herding behaviors reach extremes, they can present opportunities for contrarian action
How media narratives influence market movements
Financial media amplifys emotional extremes with compelling stories
-
The news is more likely to follow market trends than lead them.
-
Media narratives simplify complicated dynamics into dramatic storylines
-
Headlines can affect your emotions during times of market stress
Think Independently Even When Everyone Agrees
When you think independently, you gain a lot of advantages.
-
Cultivate a diverse information diet to reduce narrative capture
-
To strengthen your investment thesis, look for evidence that contradicts the current beliefs.
-
At extremes, the best results come from a contrarian approach
Creating a Healthier Relationship With Money
Your overall relationship with money will shape your investing experiences. Clarifying your money philosophy improves decision quality during market swings.
Redefining Wealth On Your Terms
Wealth can mean different things to different individuals.
-
Financial freedom provides more satisfaction than pure accumulation
-
Knowing your "enough" reduces harmful comparison
-
More important than absolute wealth is often the ability to control your time.
Aligning Your Money With Your Values
Investment decisions reflect your deeper values:
-
Value-aligned investments can reduce cognitive dissonance and volatility
-
Personal purpose provides stability when markets become turbulent
-
Ethics can help to increase commitment towards long-term strategic goals
Find Your Balance Today and Tomorrow
Money serves both present needs and future goals:
-
Saving too much money can lead to unnecessary sacrifices.
-
Saving too little can cause anxiety in the future, which reduces your enjoyment of today.
-
The balance point that you choose depends on your individual values and circumstances
Your Action Plan: Creating Your Emotional Management System
Theory becomes valuable when implemented. Let's personalize our approach to managing emotions.
Develop Your Investor Statement
Written investment policies provide a reference point that is stable during times of market turmoil.
-
Document your investment philosophy before market stress occurs
-
Include specific guidelines for actions during market extremes
-
Review and modify your plan annually to maintain consistency.
Create your own Circuit Breakers
Predetermined pause points prevent reactive decisions during high-emotion periods:
-
Mandatory waiting periods before making significant portfolio changes
-
Asset allocation safeguards that limit maximum adjustments
-
During emotional times, trusted advisors can provide perspective.
Turn every cycle of the market into an opportunity to learn
A systematic review transforms market experience into valuable learning
-
After-action review identifies emotional patterns
-
Focus on your process rather than just outcomes
-
The small gains accumulate over a lifetime of investing
Your edge is based on your psychology
Your biggest investment advantage is the ability to manage your feelings during market fluctuations. Although you cannot control the markets, your ability to respond to them is the most valuable of all investment skills.
What emotional traps in investing have you fallen prey to? How have you managed your emotional reactions to market volatility? Comment on your experience!